Oscar Predictions - 2003
Submitted by AJDaGreat on Fri, 01/30/2004 - 11:31
Tags:
- Best Picture: Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (dark horse: Lost in Translation, and if this wins, will I be kicking myself for changing my guess!)
- Best Director: Peter Jackson (dark horse: Clint Eastwood)
- Best Lead Actor: Bill Murray (light horse: Sean Penn)
- Best Supporting Actor: Tim Robbins (dark horse: Benicio del Toro)
- Best Lead Actress: Charlize Theron (dark horse: Samantha Morton)
- Best Supporting Actress: Renee Zellweger (dark horse: Marcia Gay Harden)
- Best Adapted Screenplay: City of God (light horse: Mystic River)
- Best Original Screenplay: Lost In Translation (pretty much any other nominee is a dark horse, but I'm pretty confident Sofia will take this one home)
- Best Animated Film: Finding Nemo (which is pretty much the only horse)
- Best Art Direction: Lord of the Rings: Return of the King (dark horse: The Last Samurai)
- Best Cinematography: City Of God (neutral-colored horse: Girl With a Pearl Earring)
- Best Costumes: Girl With a Pearl Earring (light horse: Lord of the Rings: Return of the King)
- Best Documentary: Capturing The Friedmans (dark horse: The Fog of War)
- Best Editing: City Of God (light horse: Lord of the Rings: Return of the King)
- Best Foreign Film: The Barbarian Invasions (dark horse: Twilight Samurai)
- Best Makeup: Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (dark horse: Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl)
- Best Score: Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (dark horse: Big Fish)
- Best Song: "Into the West" (dark horse: "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow")
- Best Sound: Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (dark horse: Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl)
- Best Sound Editing: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World (dark horse: Finding Nemo)
- Best Visual Effects: Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (dark horse: Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl)
Author Comments:
Here are what I think will win. Granted, I haven't seen a good portion of these films, so take my predictions with a grain of salt.
I omitted stupid categories with which I'm not familiar, like Best Documentary Short Subject.
Cloned From:
So what's the difference between a dark horse and a light horse ("brightness", yeah yeah, haw haw). Does it reflect how long a shot they are, or how you'll feel about it if they pull the upset?
I originally explained this in my Comments section but deleted it for the purposes of mystery. But I guess my joke was too obscure or confusing. Oh well.
Anyway, when I predicted a pretty conventional, predictable choice winning, I also suggested a "dark horse", another nominee with a good chance of winning, which would indicate somewhat of an upset. When I predicted an upset, I also suggested a "light horse": the more conventional choice, which also has a good chance of winning - in fact, maybe a better choice, but if I predicted all the conventional choices, this just wouldn't be fun.
Oh, and the neutral-colored horse was just a joke to mean that I'm not really sure which choice is more conventional.
Click here for the BAFTA winners.
Best Film:
The Lord of the Rings - Return of the King
Best Director:
Peter Weir - Master and Commander: the far side of the world
Original Screenplay:
The Station Agent - Tom McCarthy
Adapted Screenplay:
The Lord of the Rings - Return of the King - Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson
Leading Actor:
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Leading Actress:
Scarlett Johansson - Lost In Translation
Supporting Actor:
Bill Nighy - Love Actually
Supporting Actress:
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain
Cinematography:
Andrew Lesnie - The Lord of the Rings - Return of the King
Music:
Gabriel Yared, T-Bone Burnett - Cold Mouuntain
Editing:
Sarah Flack - Lost in Translation
Best Visual Effects:
Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - Joe Letteri/Jim Rygiel/Randall William Cook/
Alex Funke
Costume Design:
Wendy Stites - Master and Commander
Best Makeup:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl - Ve Neill, Martin Samuel
It just occurred to me that I am woefully underqualified to predict the Oscars this year. In any given category, I have never seen the majority of the films nominated (so, always 2 out of 5 or less, or 1 out of 3 or less), and for many categories, I haven't seen any nominated films. The ONLY exception is Best Director where I have seen "City of God", "Lost in Translation", and "Mystic River."
I'm not sure exactly what that says about my taste or about the nominated films, but I'm sure it's something...
Well, that was easily the most soporific Oscar ceremony I've ever seen. Really, I can't remember a time where there was such a distinct lack of upsets. I was 15 for 21 here, and my incorrect 6 were the times I guessed dark horse nominees (except maybe "Capturing the Friedmans", which I gradually realized had about an equal chance of winning as "Fog of War", but I never felt like changing here).
I liked having Billy Crystal back, but he couldn't save this Oscar ceremony. So disappointing, especially after those really interesting nominee choices.
I mean, come on. "Return of the King" wins Best Adapted Screenplay? The SCREENPLAY??? Gimme a break.
I think I am in a distinct minority when I say I will be glad that no "Lord of the Rings" film will be winning anything in the 2005 Oscars.
Yeah, ROTK screenplay: WTF! I was surprised it even got nominated. I admire Jackson and company's attempt to adapt the books, but the only way to do it is really, really messily, and that's how it was done. Totally undeserving.