May I Present... the Future Academy Award- Nominees... or almost
- Best Picture 4 OUT OF 5
Brokeback Mountain
- Good Night, and Good Luck.
- Capote
- Walk the Line
- Munich
- Dark Horses: A History of Violence, Crash (both instead of Capote and Walk the Line?)
- Very dark horse: The Constant Gardener
- Best Direction 5 OUT OF 5
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
- Steven Spielberg (Munich)
- George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck.)
- Paul Haggis (Crash)
- Bennett Miller (Capote)
- Dark Horses: David Cronenberg (A History of Violence), Peter Jackson (King Kong)
- Best Leading Actor 4 OUT OF 5
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
- Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
- Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
- Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man) (urgh!)
- David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck.)
- Dark Horses: Terrence Howard (Hustle & Flow), Eric Bana (Munich) (one of them instead of Crowe maybe, hopefully?)
- Best Leading Actress 4 OUT OF 5
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
- Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
- Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
- Charlize Theron (North Country)
- Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha)
- Dark Horse: Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice) (instead of Theron?)
- Best Supporting Actor 5 OUT OF 5
Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
- Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
- Matt Dillon (Crash)
- George Clooney (Syriana)
- William Hurt (A History of Violence)
- Dark Horse: Don Cheadle (Crash) (instead of Will Hurt?)
- Best Supporting Actress 5 OUT OF 5
Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
- Catherine Keener (Capote)
- Amy Adams (Junebug)
- Frances McDormand (North Country)
- Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
- Dark Horses: Maria Bello (A History of Violence), Gong Li (Memoirs of a Geisha), Scarlett Johansson (Match Point) (instead of McDormand perhaps?)
- Best Adapted Screenplay 4 OUT OF 5
Capote
- Syriana (IT'S ORIGINAL IN FACT, DANG!)
- Brokeback Mountain
- A History of Violence
- The Constant Gardener
- Dark Horse: Munich (instead of A History of Violence?)
- Best Original Screenplay 3 OUT OF 5
The Squid and the Whale
- Good Night, and Good Luck.
- Crash
- Cinderella Man
- The 40 Year Old Virgin
- Dark Horse: Match Point (instead of The 40 Year Old Virgin)
- Best Foreign Language Film 3 OUT OF 5
Paradise Now (Palestine)
- L'enfant (Belgium) (Golden Palm winner)
- Joyeux Noël (France)
- Tsotsi (South Africa)
- 2 Filhos de Francisco (Brazil)
- Best Animated Feature 3 OUT OF 3
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
- Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit
- Howl's Moving Castle
- Dark Horse: Chicken Little
- Best Cinematography 4 OUT OF 5
Good Night, and Good Luck.
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- The New World
- 2046
- Brokeback Mountain
- Best Art Direction 2 OUT OF 5 :(
King Kong
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- Brokeback Mountain
- Pride and Prejudice
- The New World
- Best Editing 3 OUT OF 5
The Constant Gardener
- King Kong
- Munich
- Good Night, and Good Luck.
- Crash
- Best Score 2 OUT OF 5 :(
Brokeback Mountain
- King Kong
- The New World
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- The Chronicles of Narnia
- Best Song 1 OUT OF 3 :(
Brokeback Mountain (A Love That Will Never Grow Old)
- Transamerica (Traveli'n Thru)
- Christmas in Love (Christmas in Love)
- The Producers (There's Nothing Like a Show on Broadway)
- Elizabethtown (Same in My Language) (4?)
- Best Visual Effects 2 OUT OF 3
King Kong
- The Chronicles of Narnia
- The Revenge of the Sith
- Best Costume Design 2 OUT OF 5
Memoirs of a Geisha
- Good Night, and Good Luck.
- King Kong
- Casanova
- Pride and Prejudice
- Best Sound Mixing 2 OUT OF 5 :(
Munich
- King Kong
- Batman Begins
- Jarhead
- The Chronicles of Narnia
- Best Sound Editing 2 OUT OF 3
Munich
- The War of the Worlds
- King Kong
- Make-up 0 OUT OF 3 :(
Brokeback Mountain
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- King Kong
Best Chances to get the Oscar
Nominations:
Brokeback Mountain: 11 --> 8
Good Night, and Good Luck.: 7 --> 6
Capote: 5 --> 5
Walk the Line: 3 --> 5
Munich: 5 --> 5
Crash: 4 --> 6
A History of Violence: 2 --> 2
Cinderella Man: 3 --> 3
King Kong: 9 --> 4
Transamerica: 2 --> 2
Mrs. Henderson Presents: 1 --> 1
North Country: 2 --> 2
Memoirs of a Geisha: 6 --> 6
Pride and Prejudice: 2 --> 4
Hustle & Flow: 0 --> 1
Syriana: 2 --> 2
Junebug: 1 --> 1
The Constant Gardener: 3 --> 4
The 40 Year Old Virgin: 1 --> 0
Match Point: 2 --> 1
2046: 1 --> 0
The New World: 3 --> 1
The Chronicles of Narnia: 3 --> 4
Batman Begins: 2 --> 1
The War of the Worlds: 1 --> 3
The Revenge of the Sith: 1 --> 1
Elizabethtown: 1 --> 0
The Producers: 1 --> 0
Christmas in Love: 1 --> 0
Casanova: 1 --> 0
Jarhead: 1 --> 0
Awards:
Brokeback Mountain: 5
Good Night, and Good Luck.: 1
Capote: 3
Walk the Line: 1
Munich: 2
Cinderella Man: 1
King Kong: 2
Memoirs of a Geisha: 1
The Constant Gardener: 2
Paradise Now: 1
Regarding your predictions for Foreign Language Oscar, Cache isn't eligible and I don't think 2046 is either.
After being snubbed by all the guilds, I think Kong is pretty much out the running at the moment.
Thank you for the information. Then Paradise Now steps up to rank 1. Have you a link where I can see which films are eligible and which are not?
As for King Kong, I think there is still hope for a 'Best Direction'- nomination. At least, I'd like to see Peter Jackson get one. And for the technical categories like 'Best Visual Effects' or 'Sound Effects', it is for sure a hot candidate.
http://www.thefilmexperience.net/Awards/2005/foreignptoz.html
There you go.
I agree Kong will get lots of technical nominations. I think it'll be one of the highest nominated films this year based on those alone. I just think the guild snubs have left it on unsteady ground for the bigger ones. I'd quite like to be wrong though.
Agree on that.
And thanks for the great link. Really an excellent website.
Wow, the movie Luxembourg sends in the race really sucks...
It may still be too early to say anything about the acting categories. Hoffman is certainly the man with the best chances, but Heath Ledger has got a lot of credit for his part in Brokeback Mountain too. But maybe he is too young.
Oh yes, and if Reese Witherspoon gets an Oscar, I'll throw my TV out of the window.