Awards: Golden Globes 2006: My Predictions

  • Best Picture/ Drama

  • Brokeback Mountain (70%)

    CORRECT

  • Good Night, and Good Luck. (15%)
  • The Constant Gardener (8%)
  • A History of Violence (5%)
  • Match Point (2%)
  • Best Picture/Comedy or Musical

  • The Squid and the Whale (40%)

    WRONG

  • Walk the Line (35%)
  • Pride and Prejudice (10%)
  • Mrs. Henderson Presents (8%)
  • The Producers (7%)
  • Actor in a Leading Role- Drama

  • Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote) (40%)

    CORRECT

  • Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain) (35%)
  • David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck.) (15%)
  • Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man) (5%)
  • Terrence Howard (Hustle & Flow) (5%)
  • Actress in a Leading Role- Drama

  • Felicity Huffman (Transamerica) (30%)

    CORRECT

  • Charlize Theron (North Country) (20%)
  • Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha) (20%)
  • Gwyneth Paltrow (Proof) (17%)
  • Maria Bello (A History of Violence) (13%)
  • Actor in a Leading Role- Comedy

  • Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line) (30%)

    CORRECT

  • Jeff Daniels (The Squid and the Whale) (25%)
  • Johnny Depp (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory) (20%)
  • Pierce Brosnan (The Matador) (15%)
  • Nathan Lane (The Producers) (5%)
  • Cillian Murphy (Breakfast on Pluto) (5%)
  • Actress in a Leading Role- Comedy

  • Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line) (30%)

    CORRECT

  • Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents) (27%)
  • Laura Linney (The Squid and the Whale) (23%)
  • Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice) (15%)
  • Sarah Jessica Parker (The Family Stone) (10%)
  • Actor in a Supporting Role

  • George Clooney (Syriana) (35%)

    CORRECT

  • Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man) (25%)
  • Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents) (20%)
  • Matt Dillon (Crash) (15%)
  • Will Ferrell (The Producers) (5%)
  • Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Scarlett Johansson (Match Point) (45%)

    WRONG

  • Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener) (20%)
  • Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain) (15%)
  • Shirley MacLaine (In Her Shoes) (10%)
  • Frances McDormand (North Country) (10%)
  • Director

  • George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck.) (40%)

    WRONG

  • Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain) (35%)
  • Steven Spielberg (Munich) (10%)
  • Fernando Meirelles (The Constant Gardener) (10%)
  • Woody Allen (Match Point) (3%)
  • Peter Jackson (King Kong) (2%)
  • Screenplay

  • Brokeback Mountain (45%)

    CORRECT

  • Match Point (30%)
  • Good Night, and Good Luck. (15%)
  • Munich (9%)
  • Crash (1%)
  • Original Score

  • King Kong (30%)

    WRONG

  • Original Song

  • Brokeback Mountain ("A Love That Will Never Grow Old") (30%)

    CORRECT

  • Best Foreign Language Film

  • Paradise Now (Palestine) (40%)

    CORRECT

  • Cecil B. DeMille Award

  • Anthony Hopkins (100%) (for sure) :)

    CORRECT

Author Comments: 

Link 1
Link 2
Link 3

Comments? Your predictions?
After the ceremony, you have the permission to make fun of me, if I was wrong.

Final Account:

Brokeback Mountain 3/7 --> 4/7
The Constant Gardener 0/3 --> 1/3
Good Night, and Good Luck. 1/4 --> 0/4 (they really dared)
A History of Violence 0/2 --> 0/2
Match Point 1/4 --> 0/4
Mrs. Henderson Presents 0/3 --> 0/3
Pride and Prejudice 0/2 --> 0/2
The Producers 0/4 --> 0/4
The Squid and the Whale 1/3 --> 0/3 (am I too optimistic for indies?)
Walk the Line 2/3 --> 3/3
Cinderella Man 0/2 --> 0/2
Capote 1/1 --> 1/1
Hustle & Flow 0/1 --> 0/1
Transamerica 1/2 --> 1/2
Proof 0/1 --> 0/1
North Country 0/2 --> 0/2
Memoirs of a Geisha 0/2 --> 1/2
The Matador 0/1 --> 0/1
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory 0/1 --> 0/1
Breakfast on Pluto 0/1 --> 0/1
The Family Stone 0/1 --> 0/1
Crash 0/2 --> 0/2
In her Shoes 0/1 --> 0/1
Syriana 1/2 --> 1/2
King Kong 1/2 --> 0/2 :(
Munich 0/2 --> 0/2
Christmas in Love 0/1 --> 0/1
The Chronicles of Narnia 0/2 --> 0/2
Paradise Now 1/1 --> 1/1
Joyeux Noël 0/1 --> 0/1
Kung fu 0/1 --> 0/1
Mo gik 0/1 --> 0/1
Tsotsi 0/1 --> 0/1

The only major prediction I would disagree with is Gwyneth winning best drama actress. I would say that this is Felicity Huffman's to lose...and it's unlikely she will. Awards grups love it when actresses physically change for roles.

In fact that was an absolute guess. Granted, these are all guesses. But for "best drama actress" I chose almost randomly.

OK, now I changed my prediction for that category, especially after having found out about the Screen Actors Guild Nominees.

Thanks once more for bringing me back to the right way.