Academy Awards Predictions Centre 2007

Tags: 
  • Best Picture

  • 1922: Little Miss Sunshine
  • Best Direction

  • 1922: Martin Scorsese (The Departed)
  • Best Leading Actor

  • 1922: Forest Whitaker (The Last King of Scotland)
  • Best Leading Actress

  • 1922: Helen Mirren (The Queen)
  • Best Supporting Actor

  • 1922: Eddie Murphy (Dreamgirls)
  • Best Supporting Actress

  • 1922: Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay

  • 1922: The Departed
  • Best Original Screenplay

  • 1922: Little Miss Sunshine
  • Best Cinematography

  • 1922: Children of Men
  • Best Editing

  • 1922: The Departed
  • Best Makeup

  • 1922: Pan's Labyrinth
  • Bets Costume Design

  • 1922: The Queen
  • Best Sound Editing

  • 1922: Letters from Iwo Jima
  • Best Sound Mixing

  • 1922: Dreamgirls
  • Best Visual Effects

  • 1922: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
  • Best Song

  • 1922: Dreamgirls: Listen
  • Best Score

  • 1922: Babel
  • Best Art Direction

  • 1922: Pan's Labyrinth
  • Best Foreign Language Film

  • 1922: Pan's Labyrinth (Mexico)
  • Best Animated Feature

  • 1922: Cars
  • Best Documentary Feature

  • 1922: An Inconvenient Truth
  • Best Documentary Short Subject

  • 1922: Recycled Life
  • Best Animated Short Film

  • 1922: The Danish Poet
  • Best Live Action Short Film

  • 1922: West Bank Story
  • Tally (1922)

  • Babel: 1
  • The Departed: 2
  • The Queen: 2
  • Dreamgirls: 4
  • Little Miss Sunshine: 2
  • Pan's Labyrinth: 3
Author Comments: 

Anyone is welcome to participate in this year's race.

As for "Best Picture":

Pro

Babel: Won the Golden Globe, great film, contemporary topics, concerning many different parts of the world
The Queen: almost certain winner for "Best Leading Actress" and "Best Original Screenplay", a critics' favourite, mostly excellent reviews
Little Miss Sunshine: Won the PGA Award and the Ensemble cast-award at the SAG's, which are both (generally) accurate indicators for Best Picture at the Oscars; an indie favourite
The Departed: Why not make Scorsese's win perfect this year, and also award his work for Best Motion Picture of the year?; excellent reviews, has won a lot of critics' awards
Letters from Iwo Jima: also a critics' awards, and after all, Clint has made this, which should be reason enough for it to win

Con

Babel: some mediocre reviews; the film is not very likely to win any other awards, and so far only "Mutiny on the Bounty" has managed to just win "Best Picture"...71 years ago!
The Queen: very British (= un-American); not necessarily a public's favourite
Little Miss Sunshine: same as for Babel: hasn't got any real chances in other categories
The Departed: the genre (thriller) is the major "drawback" of this film; furthermore, it is certainly not Scorsese's best work
Letters from Iwo Jima: here too, a 1 Oscar-win would be improbable (but then, perhaps, "Sound Editing" and ... "Best Direction"?); it cannot be again a Clint Eastwood-pic to win here, just two years after Million Dollar Baby or do they want to strengthen Eastwood's position as Scorsese-nightmare?

I'm not so sure The Queen is almost certainly going to win Best Original Screenplay. Sure, it won at the Golden Globes, but that was a surprise, and I'm not convinced the Oscars are definitely going to follow suit. They might, but I could see the award going to Babel (they clearly like this film a lot) or Little Miss Sunshine (these awards often go to indie comedies; remember two years ago when Sideways and Eternal Sunshine won the two screenplay awards?). I'm also not convinced that Babel is unlikely to win other awards; along with Best Original Screenplay, I could see it winning for Best Editing or Best Score. Of course, I may be putting my foot in my mouth in a few weeks, especially seeing as you picked Crash to win it all last year.

Nobody knows anything...