The 2006 Oscars: Predictions (Who Will Win) and Loves ( Who Should Win)
Submitted by lbangs on Sun, 03/05/2006 - 03:39
Tags:
- Best Picture
- Brokeback Mountain
- Good Night, and Good Luck
- Munich
- Capote
- Crash
- Where Is? 2046, The New World, King Kong
- Best Actor
- David Strathaim, Good Night, and Good Luck
- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
- Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
- Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
- Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
- Where Is? Eric Bana, Munich, Pierce Brosnan, The Matador
- Best Actress
- Keira Knightley, Pride and Prejudice
- Charlize Theron, North Country
- Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
- Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
- Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
- Where Is? Q’orianka Kilcher, The New World, Zhang Ziyi, 2046, Naomi Watts, King Kong (Such great performances nudged from a pathetically weak category; Kilcher should be the easy winner here)
- Best Supporting Actor
- William Hurt, A History of Violence
- Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
- George Clooney, Syriana
- Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
- Matt Dillon, Crash
- Where Is? Craig Bierko, Cinderella Man, Mickey Rourke, Sin City, half the cast of Munich
- Best Supporting Actress
- Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain
- Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
- Amy Adams, Junebug
- Frances McDormand, North Country
- Catherine Keener, Capote
- Where Is? Maria Bello, The History of Violence
- Best Director
- Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
- Steven Spielberg, Munich
- George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
- Bennett Miller, Capote
- Paul Haggis, Crash
- Where Is? Wong Kar-Wai, 2046, Terrence Malick, The New World, Peter Jackson, King Kong
- Note: Hereon out, I’m just naming the film and not the nominated talent. I hope the mothers of the nominees forgive me…
- Best Original Screenplay
- Match Point
- Syriana
- Good Night, and Good Luck
- The Squid and the Whale
- Crash
- Where Is? Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit, Me and You and Everyone We Know
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- Brokeback Mountain
- The Constant Gardener
- A History of Violence
- Munich
- Capote
- Where Is? Pride & Prejudice
- Best Animated Feature
- Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit
- The Corpse Bride
- Howl’s Moving Castle
- Animated Short
- 9
- Best Live Action Short
- Ausreisser (The Runaway)
- Best Foreign Language Film
- Paradise Now
- Where Is? Ah, gee, too many to mention. Oscar blew it this year...
- Best Documentary Feature
- March of the Penguins
- Where Is? Grizzly Man, for crying out loud...
- Best Documentary Short
- Death of Kevin Carter
- Best Art Direction
- King Kong
- Pride & Prejudice
- Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
- Good Night, and Good Luck
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- Where Is? 2046, The New World
- Best Visual Effects
- King Kong
- War of the Worlds
- The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch, and the Wardrobe
- Where Is? Both Harry Potter and Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith had better effects that Narnia.
- Best Costumes
- Memoirs of a Geisha (Hey, the film did something right!)
- Mrs. Henderson Presents
- Pride & Prejudice
- Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
- Walk the Line
- Where Is? The New World, King Kong
- Best Makeup
- Star Wars
- The Chronicles of Narnia
- Cinderella Man
- Best Editing
- The Constant Gardener
- Cinderella Man
- Munich
- Crash
- Walk the Line
- Good Night, and Good Luck
- Where Is? King Kong, 2046
- Best Cinematography
- The New World
- Brokeback Mountain
- Good Night, and Good Luck
- Batman Begins
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- Where Is? 2046, which should have won this category hands-down
- Best Sound Mixing
- King Kong
- War of the Worlds
- Walk the Line
- The Chronicles of Narnia
- Best Sound Editing
- King Kong
- War of the Worlds
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- Best Original Score
- Gustavo Santaollala, Brokeback Mountain
- Darin Marianell, Pride & Prejudice
- John Williams, Munich
- Alberto Iglesias, The Constant Gardener
- John Williams, Memoirs of a Geisha
- Best Song
- It’s Hard Out Here for a Pimp, Hustle & Flow
- Travelin’ Thru, Transamerica
- Into the Deep, Crash
Author Comments:
I am in a position new to me this year. Barring the foreign language, documentary, and shorts categories, I have seen every film nominated for the Oscars.
Reflecting that, I have ordered each category other than the ones I mentioned above into the order I like, with my favorite nominee first and my least favorite on the bottom. For the categories where I have not seen every nominated film or talent, I have only included my guess on who or what will win.
I have also added a Where Is? category to point out people and films I think were quite slighted by not being nominated.
My predictions on who will actually win the golden guy are the entries in bold type. As usual, I included several of my patented "No Guts, No Glory" guesses! :)
YES! Cool predictions. I think the acting categories will be quite interesting. Well, except Best Leading Actor (seeing Strathairn win would make my day). Added, if you don't mind.
Also respect for having seen so many of these.
I don't mind a bit. Thanks! I'll be very curious to see how everything shakes out tonight!
Shalom, y'all!
L. Bangs
Wow, I'm really impressed that you could rank six films based on their editing. I could never do that.
And yay, I'm so glad you [also] think Match Point is the best of those original screenplays! Not that it has a chance in hell...
I mentioned this elsewhere, but for the sake of everyone else on Listology: In 2004, lbangs predicted Fog of War when I was sure it would go to Capturing the Friedmans, and in 2005, lbangs called Born Into Brothels when I was all about Super Size Me. Lbangs was of course right both times, so this year I was planning to just defer to his Best Documentary pick. And this year our picks agree, giving me confidence that a dark horse like Murderball won't swipe this one.
I'll post my predictions soon.
As a former student filmmaker, I pay attention to editing probably more than I should. Oscar often doesn't; I'm still trying to figure out how the horrid editing in Gladiator won...
Luckily, since Crash will probably win, I'm happy to say that the editing was one element of the film I though was fairly well done.
Since we both agree on the documentary award this year, surely we shall both be wrong. Enron, come on down! :)
I'll await your predictions!
Shalom, y'all!
L. Bangs
Did you survive the shock?
Oh, yeah, though a little cranky for the wear. ;)
I even drug my still-running-a-fever butt out to an Oscar party tonight, and this? It was bad enough listening to Reese's horrid speech while hearing everybody comment on how cute she is.
Feel sorry for the people I work with tomorrow!
Hey, though, at least Uma and Zhang Ziyi were stunning...
Shalom, y'all!
L. Bangs